Monday, 17 May 2010

Snow, cold and outlying data

One of the recurrent problems of production monitoring is to try and determine if a process is out of control. Observations are made at various times, and from these, one is supposed to determine whether or not there are problems.

An article on the website of KNMI (the Dutch Meteorological Institute) asks whether the winter of 2009-2010 was unusual. It is here. The author asks whether the weather was unusual, by looking at various statistics from different parts of the world. What makes the page so interesting is the way that the statistics are considered with and without a model that incorporates global warming. It is a reminder for O.R. workers doing control modelling to make sure that observations are related to the correct underlying model.

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